Predictions made by Jeff Burchell
Description of Jeff Burchell » Group Other
Former writer for Wired, current strategy consultant to startups. Guest writer for onstartups.com and Wired Minds.
| Who's Wrong Prediction Scorecard for Jeff Burchell | ||
| Total Known Predictions | 11 | |
| Percent right | 55% | (6 Right, 5 Wrong, 0 Pending) |
| Jeff Burchell Predictions | |
| #1: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | Sun Microsystems stock will see $10 in 2007. |
| Outcome: | Wrong |
| Outcome Description: | Despite a reverse-split that brought the price per share up above $10, Sun Microsystems stock went down for the year, and didn't make the gains predicted. |
| #2: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | Microsoft will ship a firmware update to the Zune, which will allow it to sync to a PC via wifi connection. |
| Outcome: | Right |
| Outcome Description: | Well... very nearly right. Instead of shipping a mere firmware update, Microsoft shipped Zune 2.0, which can, in fact, sync to a PC via WiFi connection. |
| #3: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | Microsoft's Zune will be the #2 MP3 player by the end of 2007. |
| Outcome: | Wrong |
| Outcome Description: | Sandisk's Sansa is the #2. |
| #4: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | MPAA will lose or drop one or more of its lawsuits against the torrent search engines in 2007. |
| Outcome: | Right |
| Outcome Description: | Isohunt. |
| #5: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | Congress will pass a law requiring ISPs to keep logs of their customers' email and Internet surfing habits for 3-5 years. |
| Outcome: | Wrong |
| Outcome Description: | But this is continuing to be discussed... it will likely come to pass in the near future. |
| #6: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | More than half of new computers shipped in 2007 will be laptops. |
| Outcome: | Right |
| #7: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | In 2007, Fidel Castro will pass away, outliving at least 6 US Presidents who served while he was the head of state (Eisenhower, Kennedy, LBJ, Nixon, Ford, Reagan). Thanks to a small contingent in Miami who don't think Raul is a suitable replacement, It will remain illegal (but curiously, not difficult) to purchase a Cuban cigar in Manhattan. |
| Outcome: | Wrong |
| #8: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | In 2007, one of the major online music stores will start selling major-label music unencumbered by DRM. |
| Outcome: | Right |
| Outcome Description: | http://boingboing.net/2007/04/02/itunes_store_will_se.html |
| #9: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | AllofMP3 will be shut down by the Russians. This will represent the first profitable Russian company shut down because of US pressure since the fall of the Berlin wall. This act of US corporate imperialism will not be popular among the Russian populace. |
| Outcome: | Right |
| Outcome Description: | http://torrentfreak.com/allofmp3-shut-down-by-russian-government/ |
| #10: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | 2007 will be the year that Apple ships more products named MacSomething than iSomething, unofficially moving away from the i- prefix. |
| Outcome: | Wrong |
| Outcome Description: | Well, MacPhone doesn't really have the right ring to it. |
| #11: Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006 » Reference URL | |
| Date Made: | 12/31/2006 |
| Prediction: | Neither digg nor Facebook will be acquired by a public company in 2007. |
| Outcome: | Right |
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