Who's Wrong

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Predictions made by Jeff Burchell

Description of Jeff Burchell » Group Other
Former writer for Wired, current strategy consultant to startups. Guest writer for onstartups.com and Wired Minds.

Who's Wrong Prediction Scorecard for Jeff Burchell  
Total Known Predictions 11
Percent right 55% (6 Right, 5 Wrong, 0 Pending)

Jeff Burchell Predictions
#1:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:Sun Microsystems stock will see $10 in 2007.
Outcome:Wrong
Outcome Description:Despite a reverse-split that brought the price per share up above $10, Sun Microsystems stock went down for the year, and didn't make the gains predicted.
#2:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:Microsoft will ship a firmware update to the Zune, which will allow it to sync to a PC via wifi connection.
Outcome:Right
Outcome Description:Well... very nearly right. Instead of shipping a mere firmware update, Microsoft shipped Zune 2.0, which can, in fact, sync to a PC via WiFi connection.
#3:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:Microsoft's Zune will be the #2 MP3 player by the end of 2007.
Outcome:Wrong
Outcome Description:Sandisk's Sansa is the #2.
#4:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:MPAA will lose or drop one or more of its lawsuits against the torrent search engines in 2007.
Outcome:Right
Outcome Description:Isohunt.
#5:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:Congress will pass a law requiring ISPs to keep logs of their customers' email and Internet surfing habits for 3-5 years.
Outcome:Wrong
Outcome Description:But this is continuing to be discussed... it will likely come to pass in the near future.
#6:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:More than half of new computers shipped in 2007 will be laptops.
Outcome:Right
#7:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:In 2007, Fidel Castro will pass away, outliving at least 6 US Presidents who served while he was the head of state (Eisenhower, Kennedy, LBJ, Nixon, Ford, Reagan). Thanks to a small contingent in Miami who don't think Raul is a suitable replacement, It will remain illegal (but curiously, not difficult) to purchase a Cuban cigar in Manhattan.
Outcome:Wrong
#8:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:In 2007, one of the major online music stores will start selling major-label music unencumbered by DRM.
Outcome:Right
Outcome Description:http://boingboing.net/2007/04/02/itunes_store_will_se.html
#9:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:AllofMP3 will be shut down by the Russians. This will represent the first profitable Russian company shut down because of US pressure since the fall of the Berlin wall. This act of US corporate imperialism will not be popular among the Russian populace.
Outcome:Right
Outcome Description:http://torrentfreak.com/allofmp3-shut-down-by-russian-government/
#10:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:2007 will be the year that Apple ships more products named MacSomething than iSomething, unofficially moving away from the i- prefix.
Outcome:Wrong
Outcome Description:Well, MacPhone doesn't really have the right ring to it.
#11:   Entered by toxic (15) on 12/31/2006  »  Reference URL
Date Made:12/31/2006
Prediction:Neither digg nor Facebook will be acquired by a public company in 2007.
Outcome:Right


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